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Understand prediction markets through data.

Learn how prediction market OHLCV charts, trading volume and historical outcome statistics work, with transparent examples and research methods.

Start with what a candle records. Then connect traded value and average prices with historical outcomes, sample selection and probability. Each guide links to the relevant Omens workspace.

Polymarket candlestick charts, built from trades.

Explore Polymarket OHLCV charts with recorded volume, side-by-side outcomes and settlement references. Understand what each candle actually measures.

Read the statistics behind each round.

Understand prediction market volume, VWAP and historical settlement frequencies. Learn how sample selection and missing data affect round statistics.

What does a market price say about probability?

Learn how to compare prediction market prices with settled outcomes using calibration, sample sizes, confidence intervals and Brier scores.

Open round research